Section 3: Two ways that arguments can go wrong
Consider the argument that you should take an umbrella (on p. 5, above). If premise (1) is false— if it is sunny outside— then the argument gives you no reason to carry an umbrella. Even if it is raining outside, you might not need an umbrella. You might wear a rain pancho or keep to covered walkways. In these cases, premise (2) would be false, since you could go out without an umbrella and still avoid getting soaked.
Suppose for a moment that both the premises are true. You do not own a rain pancho. You need to go places where there are no covered walkways. Now does the argument show you that you should take an umbrella? Not necessarily. Perhaps you enjoy walking in the rain, and you would like to get soaked. In that case, even though the premises were true, the conclusion would be false.
For any argument, there are two ways that it could be weak. First, one or more of the premises might be false. An argument gives you a reason to believe its conclusion only if you believe its premises. Second, the premises might fail to support the conclusion. Even if the premises were true, the form of the argument might be weak. The example we just considered is weak in both ways.
When an argument is weak in the second way, there is something wrong with the logical form of the argument: Premises of the kind given do not necessarily lead to a conclusion of the kind given. We will be interested primarily in the logical form of arguments.
Consider another example:
You are reading this book.
This is a logic book.
.˙. You are a logic student.
This is not a terrible argument. Most people who read this book are logic students. Yet, it is possible for someone besides a logic student to read this book. If your roommate picked up the book and thumbed through it, they would not immediately become a logic student. So the premises of this argument, even though they are true, do not guarantee the truth of the conclusion. Its logical form is less than perfect.
An argument that had no weakness of the second kind would have perfect logical form. If its premises were true, then its conclusion would necessarily be true. We call such an argument ‘deductively valid’ or just ‘valid.’
Even though we might count the argument above as a good argument in some sense, it is not valid; that is, it is ‘invalid.’ One important task of logic is to sort valid arguments from invalid arguments.